Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 3.130417e-05 0.000037 0.000044 0.000051 0.000059 0.000068 0.000079
2025-03-16 2.287629e-05 0.000030 0.000039 0.000050 0.000062 0.000077 0.000094
2025-03-23 1.756613e-05 0.000026 0.000036 0.000049 0.000065 0.000085 0.000109
2025-03-30 1.352665e-05 0.000022 0.000033 0.000048 0.000067 0.000091 0.000121
2025-04-06 1.025187e-05 0.000018 0.000029 0.000046 0.000067 0.000095 0.000131
2025-04-13 7.347677e-06 0.000015 0.000026 0.000042 0.000065 0.000095 0.000136
2025-04-20 5.598295e-06 0.000012 0.000023 0.000040 0.000065 0.000098 0.000145
2025-04-27 4.469077e-06 0.000011 0.000022 0.000040 0.000067 0.000103 0.000155
2025-05-04 3.762406e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000041 0.000070 0.000111 0.000169
2025-05-11 3.532491e-06 0.000010 0.000022 0.000043 0.000076 0.000122 0.000190
2025-05-18 3.080047e-06 0.000010 0.000022 0.000045 0.000080 0.000131 0.000205
2025-05-25 2.244093e-06 0.000008 0.000020 0.000042 0.000078 0.000131 0.000210
2025-06-01 1.495765e-06 0.000007 0.000018 0.000040 0.000078 0.000135 0.000221
2025-06-08 9.889433e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000039 0.000079 0.000140 0.000234
2025-06-15 6.592065e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000038 0.000080 0.000146 0.000250
2025-06-22 4.074592e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000037 0.000081 0.000151 0.000264
2025-06-29 2.219916e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000035 0.000080 0.000154 0.000274
2025-07-06 9.089243e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000033 0.000077 0.000153 0.000279
2025-07-13 3.858084e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000031 0.000077 0.000156 0.000289
2025-07-20 1.657706e-08 0.000001 0.000009 0.000031 0.000079 0.000162 0.000304
2025-07-27 7.727027e-09 0.000001 0.000008 0.000031 0.000082 0.000171 0.000325
2025-08-03 5.873947e-09 0.000001 0.000009 0.000034 0.000089 0.000187 0.000356
2025-08-10 2.628405e-09 0.000001 0.000009 0.000035 0.000093 0.000198 0.000380